Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Testing the Hill and Knowlton predictor

I decided to take the actual popular vote and plug it into the Hill and Knowlton predictor to see if it got it right.

Hill and Knowlton predicts:

Con 143
Lib 74
NDP 38
Green 0
Bloc 52
Other 1

Actual results:

Con 143
Lib 76
NDP 37
Green 0
Bloc 50
Independent 2

So that's 6 wrong out of 308, or 98% accuracy with perfect poll results.

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